Differences between revisions 2 and 3
Revision 2 as of 2020-07-19 11:48:16
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Editor: DavidMorgan
Comment:
Revision 3 as of 2020-07-29 00:43:08
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Editor: DavidMorgan
Comment: Updated plots and commentary
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Link to https://nextstrain.org/ncov/oceania?dmin=2020-06-14&l=unrooted Link to https://nextstrain.org/ncov/oceania?dmin=2020-06-14&l=radial
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{{attachment:GenomicMidJuneTo19July.png}}  * The first image is post June 11; that was the day that we recorded no new cases. The major cluster is to the right, with a cluster of NSW cases (smaller darker dots) along side.
 * Both states have other scatterd cases, possibly returning citizens in hotel quarantine.
 * The second image is March 1 to June 10, that is the first wave. Note the much wider spread of genomics. They came from all over.
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 * This shows the evolution of the virus.
 * The coloured dots are reported genomes since June 14. The grey lines are previous history.
 * The large blue dots are Victoria. The small darker blue ones are NSW.
 * Note first that Victorian cases are not all on the same branch, disproving the theory that they all came from the same hotel quarantine case. If they all came from hotels, then there were multiple escapes.
 * Note also the NSW cases are well spread, and not all on branches that contain Victorian cases. Evidence against "Victorians brought it in"
##{{attachment:GenomicMidJuneTo19July.png}}
{{attachment:GenomicJune11July26.png}}

{{attachment:GenomicMarch1June11.png}}

Link to https://nextstrain.org/ncov/oceania?dmin=2020-06-14&l=radial

A plot of Covid19 varieties.

I found this web side fascinating. An open-source project that “aims to provide a real-time snapshot of evolving pathogen populations and to provide interactive data visualizations to virologists, epidemiologists, public health officials and citizen scientists”.

  • The first image is post June 11; that was the day that we recorded no new cases. The major cluster is to the right, with a cluster of NSW cases (smaller darker dots) along side.
  • Both states have other scatterd cases, possibly returning citizens in hotel quarantine.
  • The second image is March 1 to June 10, that is the first wave. Note the much wider spread of genomics. They came from all over.

GenomicJune11July26.png

GenomicMarch1June11.png

DavidMorgan

CoronaEpidemiology (last edited 2020-08-04 03:27:42 by DavidMorgan)